The STORM Count: Ad Nauseam and Expected Value
Today, we are going to look at the exact numbers behind one of the biggest strengths of The EPIC Storm (TES), especially when compared to Ad Nauseam Tendrils (ANT): the card Ad Nauseam itself! The Math The expected value of a random event is analogous to a mean, also known as an average. It has...
Read MoreMatchup Mulligan: Maverick
UW Stoneblade Final Hand Answer Hand 10: (on the play) Keep or Mulligan? Keep I was a little shocked at how many of you would mulligan this hand, you’re only an initial mana source away from winning while being protected by our best disruption spell. I would lead off on Chrome Mox ...
Read MoreMatchup Mulligan: UW Stoneblade
UR Delver Hand Answer Hand 10: (on the draw) Keep or Mulligan? Keep Most people correctly answered this scenario. With a scry and being on the draw, your odds of finding a red source are much better than your odds of winning the game on five cards. It’s difficult to ask for more than a first...
Read MoreMatchup Mulligan: UR Delver
Grixis Phoenix Hand Answer Hand 10: (on the play) Keep or Mulligan? Mulligan If you were smart enough to ignore my sideboarding advice and decided to keep in Empty the Warrens, I think this is a soft keep. The issue is that the Arclight Phoenix decks have anywhere between three and five answers ...
Read MoreMatchup Mulligan: Grixis Phoenix
Turbo Depths Hand Answer Hand 10: (on the draw) Keep or Mulligan? Mulligan Yes, we’re on the draw and have roughly 17 live draws (9 that flat out win the game), which is about 33% to win the game for every draw step. The big issue here is that we’re on the draw and that discard...
Read MoreMatchup Mulligan: Turbo Depths
4c Loam Final Hand Answer Hand 10: (on the draw) Keep or Mulligan? Keep I’m a little shocked by the number of people that thought this hand was a mulligan. Burning Wish represents both an answer to Chalice of the Void (assuming you draw another Mountain or fetchland) as well as an answer ...
Read MoreMatchup Mulligan: 4c Loam
Dredge Final Hand Answer Hand 10: (on the play) Keep or Mulligan? Keep This isn’t a fast hand, which is an issue. That said, you’re on the play with a discard spell on the first turn which should buy you a little bit of time. What’s interesting with this hand to me is that it ...
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